Wicked Chops Poker is reporting
that, with 2400 players left in the main event, Phil Ivey accepted a
$20K wager from Andy Bloch at 99:1 that he would win the main event.
Now that he's made the final table, Bloch's got to be sweating the $2
million loss.

My first reaction was that, this close call notwithstanding, this
was a pretty good spot for Bloch. Granted everything I've heard about
Ivey is that he's both incredibly good at poker and insanely
intimidating in person, but is he really 24 times more likely than the
average player to take it down? The one thing I don't know, which would
make a big difference, is what his chip stack was like at the time. I
guess if he was already at like three times the average when he took
the bet, it might not be so unreasonable to think he'd close out eight
times as often as anyone else sitting on a stack that big.

Even against bad players in a great structure, that's an awfully
huge edge. Then again, if Ivey does make it to the final four with a
decent stack, I imagine he takes it down a large percentage of the time.

What do you think? Was Ivey getting the best of Bloch when he took 99:1?