Some of you might remember a player named Jason Strasser, who in his
day was one of the very best NLHE players online, at both cash and
MTT's. He dominated the 25/50 games and won a WCOOP event before
largely quitting poker to become a Wall Street analyst or something
like that. Anyway, I actually saw him at the tables today, which
reminded me of one of his last 2+2 posts. It was about how he was
trying out bluffing in spots where people would generally say you
couldn't possibly be bluffing. After all, if they assume you can't
possibly be bluffing, they should fold anything that only beats a
bluff, right? Here's where I went with that:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $20.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($3679)
MP ($3269)
CO ($4000)
Hero (Button) ($5708)
SB ($3117.65)
BB ($2000)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 8, 9
UTG bets $80, 2 folds, Hero calls $80, SB calls $70, 1 fold

Flop: ($260) 5, 3, Q (3 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($260) 7 (3 players)
SB bets $160, UTG raises to $540, Hero raises to $1028, 1 fold, UTG raises to $3599 (All-In), Hero folds

Total pot: $2476 | Rake: $3

Results:
UTG didn't show
Outcome: UTG won $2473

Well, I guess he found something worth shoving. A set of 7's would
make the most sense to me. His turn raise looks pretty strong, because
SB was sort of fishy and anyway the raise is probably bigger than it
would need to be if it were a bluff, but at the same time how many
monster hands really make sense for UTG? I doubt he raises 64, but if
he does, I'm almost certain he bets flop. I guess he can slowplay sets
sometimes, but I doubt that's standard for him even on a board this
dry. So whatever- it probably isn't a good bluff, but I had a feeling
and I pulled the trigger. I do that sometimes, and I've won some pots
you never would have expected. It's not the worst leak in the world to
have, as long as you keep it under control. I'd say that at least a
third of the time that you hear a voice in your head saying, "You know,
I bet he can't stand a raise here," you should just go ahead and do it.