Thin Turn Check Raise
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $8.00 BB (3 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from PokerSavvyPlus.com
Button ($816.20)
Hero (SB) ($2062.85)
BB ($2710)
Preflop: Hero is SB with A
, 6
1 fold, Hero bets $32, BB calls $24
Flop: ($64) 5
, 6, 5
(2 players)
Hero bets $44, BB calls $44
Turn: ($152) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $96, Hero raises to $266, BB calls $170
River: ($684) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, BB checks
Total pot: $684 | Rake: $1
Results:
Hero had A, 6 (two pair, sixes and fives).
BB had 7, 8 (straight, nine high).
Outcome: BB won $683
In a blind battle, I expect to be way ahead here even after getting called on the flop. It’s such a rare spot for me to check-raise that I expect Villain to bet not just floats but also any pair (which will be mostly 4’s and 6’s, rarely anything I’m behind) and maybe even Ace-high. If he 3-bets, I’m comfortable folding as he’ll have trips or better the vast majority of the time.
I even expect to be ahead of his turn calling range, since he can probably have a lot of draws. I check planning to call the river, expecting that he won’t value bet at all thin, and while he could have a bluff, I think busted straight draws are more likely. The results of this hand actually bolster my confidence in my plan, as it establishes that he isn’t value betting at all thinly on the river. When he does bet, he’ll have exactly a flush or a bluff, and I think a call will show a profit.
He happened to hit on the turn this time, but sometimes that happens when you go for thin value.
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