A Set, A Big Bet, and a Board That’s Wet
illain’s flop bet, representing 75% of the pot and about 15% of the effective stacks, puts me in an awkward spot with my whole range (and is therefore a good one). Actually, I can play good draws pretty easily by making a pot-committing raise, but with say one marginal pair it’s a scary board to flat call but raising requires committing a lot of stack relative to the pot against a non-favorable range. Bluff-raising is similarly awkward, but it’s a big bet to float, particularly in a spot where Villain could turn a lot of draws and fire a pot-committing semi-bluff. Even here, with a monster, I’d kind of like to raise but am afraid that shows too much strength, as I can’t really raise and leave Villain room to 3-bet with any perception of fold equity.
On the plus side, I don’t think he’d play a big draw like this, as his bet size enables me to put him in a tough spot with a raise. Thus, I’m more comfortable flatting with a set here than I otherwise would be. I’m actually kind of hoping a club does come on the turn so that Villain will semi-bluff shove. I definitely think flatting is best here, as Villain can’t very well check-fold his overpairs on most turns, plus there’s room for him to turn a second best hand if he has overcards or to turn a draw he can semi-bluff. It might seem like there are a lot of free cards that could kill my hand, such that slowplaying is bad, but based on Villain’s sizing I’m actually not too worried about the draws.
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold’em, $80.00 BB (5 handed) - Converter Tool from PokerSavvyPlus.com
SB ($7797)
BB ($16240)
UTG ($19134)
Hero (MP) ($8757)
Button ($7535.50)
Preflop: Hero is MP with 6
, 6
1 fold, Hero bets $240, 1 fold, SB raises to $800, 1 fold, Hero calls $560
Flop: ($1680) 6
, 5, 9 (2 players)
SB bets $1250, Hero calls $1250
Turn: ($4180) 4 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3210, 1 fold
Total pot: $4180 | Rake: $3
Results:
Hero didn’t show 6, 6.
Outcome: Hero won $4177
February 26th, 2010 - 21:50
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