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Poker Tournament Trends (11/24 - 11/30)
from jurollo. 30 November 2008, 20:20.

Sort of an interesting week this week. We have 19 of our 30 tournaments that are tracked down from last week's numbers, however, most of those took place around the US Thanksgiving holiday. Next week will be a good measure of where we are at overall. This week also marked the first week of a combined AP/UB server which saw a huge increase in the 200k which offered no overlay. I am unsure of how I will go on with tracking these two but will likely keep them as they currently are tracked.

When looking at our 5 week and 10 week splits we have 5 of our 30 tournaments showing a downward field size trend over our sample. 2 of which are high limit rebuys and 2 of which are Freezeouts on Fridays. I believe the rebuys show how important satellites are to MTTs, as they are 2 of the tracked tournaments which do not rely on sats. The final tournament showing a downward trend is the FTP $750k. I am not quite sure the reason why this has been consistently showing field contraction but it is strange as other MTTs on FTP are showing growth as is the Sunday Million on Poker Stars. My guess is that it is either the satellite system needs tweaking or the effects of the site going from a must play 1st seat system in sats to a T$ system are still being felt in the system.

The PFI has increased to 3.02%, showing growth once again this week, this is a 5 week lagging indicator though so I expect it to top out in 3 weeks. Also I have included a new stat called SPFI which will track where field sizes are this week in relation to their 5 week moving averages. As we see here in yet another stat, the online tournament world had a down week.

On a final bright note, even in our 2nd week in a row of contraction, 16 of the 30 tracked tournaments beat their 10 week moving average this week.

http://www.jurollo.net/pokertrends1130.jpg