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Review of Kill Everyone by Lee Nelson

Lee Nelson’s swift domination of the 2006 Aussie Millions final table was a sight to behold. His aggression was relentless yet calculated, and he took down the title without much resistance and took the final table chip lead wire-to-wire.

The most impressive part of his performance was how he fought back against the young, loose-aggressive players (LAGs) at his table such as Shannon Shorr and Nenad Medic. Although many veteran players struggle against LAGs and their fearless and often reckless style, Nelson punished them by moving in when he knew they were getting out of line and could not fade a call for all their chips.

His reads were pristine, because every time one of the LAGs raised him on some sort of draw or middle pair, Nelson ended the proceedings by shoving all his chips forward and leaving the youngsters frustrated, with their hands buried in their heads … and their cards in the muck.

I didn’t know much about Nelson before watching that final table, except that he was a respected player whose nickname was “final table.” After watching his masterful performance, the moniker seemed fitting.

I was eager to know more about the motivation and principles behind his powerful tournament strategy, and he obliged with the excellent book “Kill Phil,” a project co-authored by tournament veteran Blair Rodman that explained, in detail, exactly what Nelson is up to when he employs his “long ball” tournament strategy.

Essentially, it recommends giving these LAGs a dose of their own medicine when you’re in a hand with them, instead of letting them dictate the course of the hand to you. Otherwise, heads-up pots against them can feel like a route canal, only much more painful.

Nelson and Rodman did an outstanding job of breaking down the strategy to its core and even suggesting different levels of the KP strategy to apply depending on a player’s experience. Their advice came with instant credibility based on Nelson’s Aussie Millions performance and Rodman’s solid tournament record.

So I didn’t hesitate to immediately pick up a copy of “Kill Everyone,” Nelson’s sequel to “Kill Phil” that promised even more advanced strategy for the KP player along with some more general tips and strategies. Except this time around, his co-contributors are Tysen Streib and Mark Vos. Unfortunately, they are the book’s weak links.

Nelson’s insight and advice predictably is top-notch, particularly when he delves into the tendencies of online poker players, some of which were laugh-out-loud funny with their accuracy. He correctly points out that online players get married to top pair and “no amount of dynamite” will get them to fold it. So if a third flush card hits and you make a big bet or move-in, you had better “expect” to be called, Nelson states, and he’s dead-on. However, if you actually have the flush, you’ll get paid off almost all the time. So Nelson suggests laying off the bluffing but overbetting your premium hands online and, based on my own experience, this is very sound advice.

Nelson also is right in his assessment that “online players raise and re-raise with all types of junk,” and, accordingly, he lowers his standards for pushing all-in when faced with two raises in front. While in a live game he needs Q-Q or better, Nelson writes that his online threshold is 10-10 or better, and that it never ceases to amaze him when both players call and one shows something like A-J and the other 8-8. Even though he gets unlucky from time to time in this spot, Nelson is willing to take the risk of going broke in that spot for the chance at tripling up.

Nelson, who is a doctor by trade, also offers some excellent advice toward the end of the book regarding nutrition, exercise and general tips for physical and mental health that will help you through long, grueling tournaments. It’s probably the most comprehensive and medically credible text on the topic that you’ll ever find in a poker book.

So, Nelson’s chapters alone are enough to give “Kill Everyone” a look. But if you read just his chapters and skipped everything else, you might be better off. The middle of the book features Streib trying to persuade readers to take the KP move-in strategy to unprecedented heights (or lows, as it may be), essentially persuading readers that it’s correct to move in with almost any hand in the middle to late stages of a tournament if the situation is right.

Which, he argues, is with just about any two cards if you are in late position in an unraised pot. His theory is backed by endless charts, graphs and mathematical equations and, I must admit, he presents a very strong argument. However, I also must admit, I’m not buying into all of it.

His chapters read like some sort of master’s thesis on the benefits to the environment of auto emissions; on the surface, you can’t possibly conceive that it’s true, but the more you read, the stronger his stance becomes. The problem is, it’s still fundamentally flawed.

The basic premise of his research is somewhat based on David Sklanksy’s famed “gap concept,” which states that it takes a much stronger hand to call a raise than it does to make one. Streib correctly concludes that most players are not willing to risk all, or most, of their chips with any thing less than a premium starting hand. In other words, the number of hands you push with far outnumber the range of hands with which your opponents will call, thus making the move-in a profitable play.

This seems to make sense. The problem is, your otherwise too-tight opponents will pick up a premium hand from time to time and, when they do, you are toast. Maybe you can fade losing an all-in confrontation from all the uncontested pots you have picked up previously, but getting all-in with the worst of it is a disaster.

Streib’s concepts seem to neglect the fact that the more often you move in, the better the chances that you’ll get snapped off by a real hand at some point. You see it happen way more often in online play, but occasionally it will happen in a live setting as well: A player makes it all the way to the final table, or close to it, only to see all the hard work go down the drain when he moves in with 7-8 off-suit from the button and gets called by the big blind’s K-K. It’s painful to watch it happen, and a shame that a poker advice book would advocate this sort of recklessness.

While it’s true that many players have a flawed strategy when the blinds are high in relation to their stack – making a standard raise in this spot is about the worst move you can make – simple selective aggression probably is preferable to blindly moving in on the premise that, mathematically, you’ll get away with it more often than not. What’s more, these chapters are filled with charts and graphs that are mind-boggling and nearly impossible to read and comprehend. Even if you could, they’d be nearly impossible to memorize … and even then, what good would they do you?

“Kill Everyone” also features a short and relatively insignificant chapter on no-limit cash play from young pro Mark Vos. The concepts he writes about are relatively elementary, and he shows a knack for stating the obvious. During the description of one simulated hand, he states that after the turn card, “You are probably ahead or behind at this point.” Um, yeah, probably … as you are in any hand, at any point in time. He probably meant to say that you probably are way ahead or behind, but failure to note the difference makes the author lose some credibility. For tips on no-limit cash games, you are much better off reading the new “Professional No Limit Hold’em” book penned by three authors from Two Plus Two publishing.

And when it comes to “Kill Everyone,” you are best advised to listen to Lee Nelson carefully, and be really careful about listening to his co-authors.

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